Wednesday, September 12, 2018

Understanding Naturalism (Pt. II)

This post is Part II (See Part I below) of our look at Alex Rosenberg's paper titled A Disillusioned Naturalist's Guide to Reality. In this section Rosenberg considers whether the universe and life reflect a purposeful design. In other words, is there any purpose to either the cosmos or to human existence? Rosenberg's answer is, no:
[A]ll of the beautiful suitability of living things to their environment, every case of fit between organism and niche, and all of the intricate meshing of parts into wholes, is just the result of blind causal processes. It’s all just the foresightless play of [atomic particles] producing, in us conspiracy-theorists, the illusion of purpose.
He goes on to tackle the question whether morality can exist in a naturalistic world. He titles the section, Nice Nihilism: The Bad News About Morality and The Good News. I quote from it at length because it's unusual to find such an explicit statement of the consequences for morality entailed by atheistic naturalism:
If there is no purpose to life in general, biological or human for that matter, the question arises whether there is meaning in our individual lives, and if it is not there already, whether we can put it there. One source of meaning on which many have relied is the intrinsic value, in particular the moral value, of human life. People have also sought moral rules, codes, principles which are supposed to distinguish us from merely biological critters whose lives lack (as much) meaning or value (as ours).

Besides morality as a source of meaning, value, or purpose, people have looked to consciousness, introspection, self-knowledge as a source of insight into what makes us more than the merely physical facts about us. Scientism [the belief that science can answer all life's important questions] must reject all of these straws that people have grasped, and it’s not hard to show why. Science has to be nihilistic about ethics and morality.
There is no room in a world where all the facts are fixed by physical facts for a set of free floating independently existing norms or values (or facts about them) that humans are uniquely equipped to discern and act upon.

So, if scientism is to ground the core morality that every one (save some psychopaths and sociopaths) endorses, as the right morality, it’s going to face a serious explanatory problem. The only way all, or most, normal humans could have come to share a core morality is through selection on alternative moral codes or systems, a process that resulted in just one winning the evolutionary struggle and becoming “fixed” in the population.
If our universally shared moral core were both the one selected for and also the right moral core, then the correlation of being right and being selected for couldn’t be a coincidence. Scientism doesn’t tolerate cosmic coincidences. Either our core morality is an adaptation because it is the right core morality or it’s the right core morality because it’s an adaptation, or it’s not right, but only feels right to us.

It’s easy to show that neither of the first two alternatives is right. Just because there is strong selection for a moral norm is no reason to think it right.
All this should be pretty disturbing to those atheists who want to hold on to moral obligation while denying any transcendent ground for it. It's also precisely correct given Rosenberg's atheistic starting point.

Thus far Rosenberg has drawn the proper conclusions from his naturalism, but then he says something odd. Having denied any ground for distinguishing between right and wrong, he says this:
This nihilistic blow is cushioned by the realization that Darwinian processes operating on our forbears in the main selected for niceness! The core morality of cooperation, reciprocity and even altruism that was selected for in the environment of hunter-gatherers and early agrarians, continues to dominate our lives and social institutions.

We may hope the environment of modern humans has not become different enough eventually to select against niceness. But we can’t invest our moral core with more meaning than this: it was a convenience, not for us as individuals, but for our genes. There is no meaning to be found in that conclusion.
What does Rosenberg mean here by imposing a value on niceness, cooperation, and altruism? Would someone who was not nice or cooperative be wrong? A naturalist like Rosenberg cannot say he would, nor do I think he would try to say that given that he has just asserted above that, "Just because there is strong selection for a moral norm is no reason to think it right." Such judgments of moral value are completely unwarranted on naturalism except as expressions of personal taste.

Even more problematic is his claim that evolution has selected "in the main" for niceness, etc. I doubt that this is at all correct. Certainly this claim runs counter to human experience. There's just as much meanness and cruelty in the world as there is niceness.

That being the case, evolution must have selected at least as much for meanness as for niceness, and an atheistic naturalist simply has no grounds for saying that one is right and the other is wrong. The most he can say is that he likes one more than he likes the other, but right and wrong are not established by our likes and dislikes.

More tomorrow.

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

Understanding Naturalism (Pt. I)

Alex Rosenberg is an atheistic naturalist - one who holds that nature is all there is, there is no supernature - who seeks in this essay to provide an overview of what it is that naturalists believe. He begins with this preface:
This is a précis of an argument that naturalism forces upon us a very disillusioned “take” on reality. It is one that most naturalists have sought to avoid, or at least qualify, reinterpret, or recast to avoid its harshest conclusions about the meaning of life, the nature of morality, the significance of our consciousness self-awareness, and the limits of human self-understanding.
Rosenberg wishes to draw "the full conclusion from a consistently atheistic position," as Sartre put it in describing existentialism. He will have none of the namby-pamby naturalism of those atheists, like Hitchens and Dawkins, who think they can reject God and still cling to belief that life is meaningful, that morality exists, and that truth can be known.

Rosenberg's is a full-blooded naturalism that recognizes that all of those things are contingent upon the existence of a transcendent moral authority. His essay is a call to his fellow atheists to "man-up" and disabuse themselves of their comfortable illusions. No God, he avers, means no genuine meaning to life, no non-arbitrary morality, and no objective truth.

He divides his essay into eight topics, some of which will be addressed here at Viewpoint over the next couple of days. His first topic is headed, Why Leave Life’s Persistent Questions to Guy Noir? and is an explication of "scientism," a term that is in some disrepute but which Rosenberg wants to resuscitate. Here's an excerpt:
We all lie awake some nights asking questions about the universe, its meaning, our place in it, the meaning of life, and our lives, who we are, what we should do, as well as questions about god, free will, morality, mortality, the mind, emotions, love. These worries are a luxury compared to the ones most people on Earth address.

But they are persistent. And yet they all have simple answers, ones we can pretty well read off from science....Scientism is my label for what any one who takes science seriously should believe, and scientistic is just an in-your face adjective for accepting science’s description of the nature of reality. You don’t have to be a scientist to be scientistic.
Scientism is the view that answers to all important questions can be provided through scientific investigation. This is because everything that exists is simply some combination of matter and energy [This is a view called materialism]. Since science investigates matter and energy it will eventually find the answers to all our questions.

If one embraces naturalism [the belief that nature is all there is] then one is likely also to embrace scientism.
Rosenberg's claim here that science can answer all the important questions is surely wrong. It can't, for example, answer, or even address, the question whether we have a soul, whether there's life after death, whether altruism is morally superior to selfishness, whether God exists, what truth is, or a host of other very important matters about which human beings frequently wonder.

In the next topic, titled The Nature Of Reality? Just Ask Physics Rosenberg gives a pretty clear statement of what materialists believe about the world:
What is the world really like? It’s fermions and bosons [subatomic particles], and everything that can be made up of them, and nothing that can’t be made up of them. All the facts about fermions and bosons determine or “fix” all the other facts about reality and what exists in this universe or any other if ... there are other ones.
Ideas have consequences. If Rosenberg is right in saying that all that exists is matter, energy and the forces between them then several conclusions inevitably follow. Those conclusions are the topic of the remaining sections of his paper. We'll reflect upon them over the next several days.

Monday, September 10, 2018

A Dictator in the Making?

It's not uncommon to hear political commentators refer to President Trump as a "dictator", or marginally more temperately, an "authoritarian".

Here's an example from MSNBC's Morning Joe cited in the Washington Free Beacon:
MSNBC host Mika Brzezinski and analyst Steve Schmidt had strong language Tuesday for President Donald Trump and his Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, calling the former a "dictator in the making" and the latter "illegitimate" before he's even been confirmed.

Schmidt sarcastically complimented Trump as being "absolutely indefatigable" in his "vileness, his illiberalism, his fetish for autocracy."

"It exhausts everybody," Schmidt said. "The problem with it is that when you are in a fight, there's only two ways to win a fight. You either have to bring your opponent to submission … or you wear them out. Trump wears people out. He exhausts them. He numbs them, He completely—"

"That sounds like a dictator in the making, actually," Brzezinski said.
Maybe I'm simply lacking the acuity to see what these people see, but I just don't see much evidence that President Trump is either a dictator or an authoritarian. On the contrary, the evidence we have seems to lead to the opposite conclusion. Mr. Trump, to the extent that he has any ideology at all, seems to be very much a libertarian.

Here are three considerations which I think lead us away from the "dictator" designation:
  • A dictator seeks to arrogate power to himself and to centralize government, but President Trump, by removing onerous regulations on business, attempting to reduce government involvement in our lives, e.g. by eliminating the individual mandate under Obamacare, and cutting taxes has done precisely the opposite. By improving the economy and putting money in the hands of individuals he is empowering citizens rather than empowering government.
  • A dictator would seek to appoint judges and Supreme Court Justices who would disregard the Constitution and base their rulings on ideological fashion and political expediency. President Trump has consistently appointed jurists who revere the Constitution and who are loyal to the rule of law.
  • A dictator would be secretive and uncommunicative, hiding his agenda to fundamentally transform the country from the citizenry until it's too late for them to do anything about it. President Trump, on the other hand, has been without a doubt one of the most transparent presidents ever to hold the office. He makes his agenda abundantly clear virtually every day. Anyone who's paying attention knows precisely what he wants to do and what he's thinking.
To be sure, Mr. Trump is unconventional and, regrettably, often unable to articulate what he means. It's unfortunate that a man who speaks the same language as the rest of us nevertheless still often requires an interpreter.

Even so, a dictator he's not, and if the good folks on the left want us to believe them when they accuse him of tyrannical tendencies they're going to have to adduce a lot more hard evidence than they have heretofore.

Saturday, September 8, 2018

The Ant and the Grasshopper

People who don't pay much attention to politics, and even some who do, are often confused about the difference between conservatives and progressives. If, for example, you polled folks on the question "Who are the most staunch advocates of individual liberty, conservatives or progressives," many would reply that it's the liberal progressive and would look at you incredulously if you told them they were mistaken.

Yet, they would be mistaken all the same.

As the progressive wing of the Democratic party continues its embrace of socialism and socialist candidates I was reminded of one of the earliest illustrations of the difference between the two political views - an illustration presented in the famous fable by Aesop titled The Ant and the Grasshopper. It goes like this:
The ant works hard in the withering heat all summer long, building his house and laying up supplies for the winter. The grasshopper thinks the ant is a fool and laughs and dances and plays the summer away.

Come winter, the ant is warm and well fed. The grasshopper has no food or shelter, so he dies out in the cold.
The moral, of course, is that we should all work hard and be responsible for ourselves. That's the conservative view.

A more contemporary version of the venerable tale, however, goes something like this:
The ant works hard in the withering heat and rain all summer long, building his house and laying up supplies for the winter. The ant worked hard in school as well, earned an education, waited until he was married before having children, and remained faithful to his ant-wife.

The grasshopper thinks the ant is a fool and laughs and dances and plays the summer away. The grasshopper couldn't care less about school, sleeps with whichever other grasshopper will have him, and lives life in a haze of drugs, alcohol, cheese curls and television reality shows.

Come winter, the shivering grasshopper calls a press conference and demands to know why the ant should be allowed to be warm and well-fed while he's cold, hungry and without health insurance.

The major networks all show up to provide pictures of the shivering grasshopper next to a video of the ant snug in his comfortable home with a refrigerator filled with food. America is stunned by the sharp contrast. How can this be, that in a country of such wealth, this poor grasshopper is allowed to suffer so?

Labor unions and activist groups stage demonstrations in front of the ant's house where news stations film them loudly condemning the ant for his lack of compassion.

Progressive politicians publicly chastise the ant and blame his Republican sympathies for the grasshopper's plight. They exclaim on the Sunday morning talk shows that the ant has gotten rich off the back of the grasshopper, and they call for a tax hike on the ant to make him pay his fair share and "spread the wealth around."

No longer able to pay his employees or his mortgage because of the tax burdens that have been imposed on him, the ant has to sell both his business and his home which the government buys and gives to the grasshopper because a job and a home are human rights.

The story ends as we see the grasshopper and his friends, sleeping till noon, and then finishing up the last bits of the ant's food while the business fails and the house crumbles around them because the grasshopper doesn't maintain it.

The ant has dropped out of sight, never to be seen again. The grasshopper is eventually found dead in a drug-related incident, and the house, now abandoned, is taken over by a gang of spiders who terrorize the ramshackle, once prosperous and peaceful neighborhood.
The moral of the story, of course, is that we get what we vote for.

Progressives are determined to make the ants, which comprise about 25% of the population and which pays about 87% of the nation's income taxes, pull the wagon full of grasshoppers, many of whom are among the almost 50% of our population who pay almost no income tax.

On top of that the top 25% will now have to pay the health insurance costs for 30 million people (50 million if they pass amnesty for illegal aliens). Ants are strong. They can carry loads a hundred times their own weight, but they can't carry all those grasshoppers.

Not a few people labor under the misapprehension that conservatives are cold, heartless, stingy and lack compassion for the poor. This, too, is manifestly untrue. Indeed, studies have shown that conservatives give more to charity than do liberals.

What conservatives do believe, though, is that until the grasshopper changes his grasshopper ways, no amount of charity will help him rise up out of his poverty.

The classic 1934 Walt Disney version of Aesop's fable does a nice job of depicting this truth:

Friday, September 7, 2018

Civility: It All Depends

Throughout the week-long tribute to the late Senator John McCain we found ourselves instructed in the need for a more respectful dialogue in our politics, and President Trump was often tacitly chastised for setting an uncivil tone in his speeches and tweets.

The president deserves to be criticized (though not, for heaven's sake, during a memorial service) for frequently adulterating the quality of our public discourse, but the irony here is that the lectures on civility during the McCain memorials were often delivered by members of the same party which has given us the chaotic, disgraceful circus that has accompanied the Kavanaugh hearings.

It's hard to take seriously calls for courtesy and civility from people who have so far refused to condemn the deplorable behavior of their colleagues on the Senate Judiciary Committee or of the rank and file activists in the gallery.

David French at NRO describes the clown show that the Democrats put on Tuesday. Here's an excerpt:
[Y]esterday, from the top down, from senators to protesters to online trolls, the Democrats offered a preview of how they’d react to any Republican nominee, and it was a shining example of how and why conservatives don’t believe for one moment that Donald Trump is the sole source of American dysfunction.

Consider first the utterly frivolous behavior of multiple Democratic senators. Within seconds of the hearing’s start they interrupted Senate Judiciary Committee chairman Charles Grassley with demands that he adjourn the hearing.

The pretext was one of those eye-glazing Washington debates over document production, in which senators who’d already vowed weeks ago to vote against Kavanaugh claimed they couldn’t possibly evaluate him properly based on the hundreds of thousands of pages they already had (including more than a decade of judicial opinions).

They instead absolutely needed every scrap of paper he ever touched, so . . . what? They could cast a more emphatic no vote?
By one count the proceedings were interrupted 76 times in two hours, and to what end? So that the senators could show their extremist base that they're determined to resist the inevitable appointment of an eminently qualified jurist?

No one disputes that Brett Kavanaugh is supremely qualified to serve on the Supreme Court, but he's tainted by being the nominee of the hated and terrifying Trumpenstein monster and so must be opposed by whatever means necessary, no matter how rude, vulgar and unseemly.

The Democratic senators at least tried to camouflage their rudeness with a patina of polite language, but the activists who somehow managed to insinuate themselves into the room flavored their buffoonery with angry, screeching insults.

French adds,
Let’s be clear, had angry Tea Party protesters caused the same scale of disruption at a Democratic hearing, news outlets would be shaking their heads at the dangerous lack of respect for a dignified nominee. Instead, all too many folks think this is what democracy looks like: serial attempts to exercise an incoherent, screaming heckler’s veto.
Indeed. Here's a clip of some of the goings-on:
The behavior of these folks was even more absurdly comical than the clip reveals. Apparently, denizens of the twitterverse went berserk at the secret white supremacy hand signals they espied being flashed by a young woman, a lawyer of Mexican and Jewish descent, mind you, sitting behind Judge Kavanaugh.

The Twitterites' outrage meters were also registering in the red after Judge Kavanaugh's unconscionable snub, which turns out to have been no snub at all, of a man who turned out to be the father of a student slain at Parkland High School, apparently set on embarrassing the judge.

You can read about these faux enormities in French's column. Sadly, when people are desperate to find something, anything, to be scandalized about they'll cling to any straw which presents itself, real or imagined, and no matter how foolish it makes them look.

Thursday, September 6, 2018

The Odd Couple

I like Attorney General Jeff Sessions, but he has certainly been a puzzlement. He has by all appearances, and with no plausible explanation, in the face of massive evidence of wrongdoing and corruption on the part of members of the previous administration and the previous Democratic candidate for president, declined to appoint a special prosecutor to pursue a serious investigation of the apparent malefactors.

If the president chose to relieve Mr. Sessions of his duties, it'd be hard for those of us on the outside of the DOJ (Department of Justice) to think of a reason why he'd be wrong to do so. If he chooses not to cashier him then he should stop humiliating the man in his public pronouncements.

Indeed, the manner in which President Trump is treating AG Sessions is deplorable. The constant tweets maligning Sessions are childish, cruel and often belie a desire on the part of the president to have an AG, as FOX News contributor Brit Hume put it, who'd be "a goalie for the president".

The Odd Couple

Trump's latest tweet criticized Sessions for bringing charges against two Republican congressmen against whom there's considerable evidence of malfeasance. Trump objected in his tweet to the timing of the indictments, since the scandal will almost certainly guarantee that the Republicans will lose those two seats in November, a loss they can ill-afford to sustain.

Here's the content of the president's tweet:
"Two long running, Obama era, investigations of two very popular Republican Congressmen were brought to a well publicized charge, just ahead of the midterms, by the Jeff Sessions Justice Department. Two easy wins now in doubt because there is not enough time. Good job Jeff."

". . . The Democrats, none of whom voted for Jeff Sessions, must love him now. Same thing with Lyin' James Comey. The Dems all hated him, wanted him out, thought he was disgusting – UNTIL I FIRED HIM! Immediately, he became a wonderful man, a saint-like figure, in fact. Really sick!"
Perhaps I'm misunderstanding the president's intent (it's easy to do), but it seems as though President Trump wants his AG to be something of an advocate and a defender, like a personal lawyer, a legal bug bra, as it were, to protect the president from being sullied by the offal the left relentlessly seeks to splatter him with.

Indeed, that's essentially what President Obama had in Eric Holder and perhaps in Loretta Lynch, but the partisan nature of the Obama AG (and the Obama IRS) made his administration ethically repellant. A political hack is not what the AG is supposed to be regardless of who the president is.

Sessions is right to eschew political considerations in his decision to bring charges against those congressmen. Now, if he would just apply that same principle to the derelictions of Hillary Clinton and her associates the temptation to think that he's out of his depth as Attorney General might subside.

Wednesday, September 5, 2018

Evolutionarily Superfluous

One of the perplexities of modern evolutionary theory is how structures, systems, and abilities evolved that are completely superfluous to an organism's survival. Natural selection, according to the theory, acts upon genetic variations, favoring those that suit the organism for its environment and culling from the population those which don't. But nothing in the theory explains, or at least explains well, biological extravagance, notwithstanding that we see such extravagance all around us.

Some while ago Evolution News did an essay that discusses three examples of biological phenomena that far exceed anything that would have been necessary for fitness. The three are the Venus Flytrap, the stripes on a zebra, and the prodigious memory capability of the human brain. Here's what they said about the Venus Flytrap:
New work by researchers in Germany, published in Current Biology, shows that this plant can count! The team's video, posted on Live Science (see below), shows how the trigger hairs inside the leaves generate action potentials that can be measured by electrical equipment.

Experiments show that the number of action potentials generates different responses. Two action potentials are required to close the trap. When closed, the plant starts producing jasmonic acid. The third spike activates "touch hormones" that flood the trap with digestive juices. The fifth spike triggers uptake of nutrients.

The struggling insect will trigger some 50 action potentials. The more they come, the more the trap squeezes tighter and tighter, as if knowing it has a stronger prey. The squeezing presses the animal against the digestive juices, also allowing more efficient uptake of nutrients.

"It's not quite plant arithmetic, but it's impressive nonetheless," says Liz Van Volken­burgh of the University of Washington in Seattle. "The Venus flytrap is hardwired to respond in the way that's now being described," she says.

Wayne Fagerberg at the University of New Hampshire in Durham agrees. "Obviously it doesn't have a brain to go 'one, two, three, four'," he says. "Effectively, it's counting. It's just not thinking about it."

In our experience, "hardwired" things that can count and activate responses are designed. This elaborate mechanism, involving multiple responses that activate machines on cue, seems superfluous for survival. The Venus flytrap has photosynthesis; it can make its own food. The argument that it needs animal food because it lives in nutrient-poor soil is questionable; other plants, including trees, do fine without animal traps.
Here's a video that shows the Venus Flytrap in action:
How did such an astonishing ability, not just the ability to capture and digest prey but also the ability to count, ever evolve through blind, purposeless processes in a plant?

Regarding the capabilities of the brain, a topic also discussed in the Evolution News article, I'm reminded of a quip by philosopher Alvin Plantinga who was discussing the brain's extraordinary ability to do higher math and reflecting on the implausibility of such an ability being adequately explained by a process that merely shaped human brains for reproductive success. Plantinga observed dryly that, after all, it's only the rare graduate student whose prospects for reproductive success are enhanced by his ability to solve differential equations.

Tuesday, September 4, 2018

The Catholic Scandal

The Federalist has an excellent piece by Paul Rahe, a historian at Hillsdale, on the pederastic corruption at the Vatican.

It's reminiscent of what Luther found when he first visited Rome as a young monk in 1510. Luther was so appalled at the flagrant sexual licentiousness of the priests and bishops that he (or someone close to him) commented that they (the clerics) think they're being virtuous if they limit their debaucheries to sex with women. Luther afterwards would occasionally recite the Italian proverb, "If there is a hell Rome is built on top of it."

The ensuing Protestant Reformation precipitated a corresponding reformation in the Catholic Church that restored a measure of piety and virtue to the clergy, at least in some parts of Europe and North America. Now, however, it appears that another reformation is badly needed.

Rahe says that pederasty, the sexual exploitation of adolescent boys by grown men, is so rampant among priests and higher ups that unless Pope Francis resigns and the Vatican bishops clean house there'll be an ecclesiastical "civil war" in the Roman Catholic Church.

Meanwhile, the scandal is giving the Church not merely a black eye but a serious concussion, and I suspect that a lot of church officials find themselves too paralyzed by political correctness to insist that the offenders be purged.

Since the problem seems bound up inextricably with the so-called Lavender Mafia that permeates the higher echelons of the church's seminaries and other institutions, and which uses its power to block the advancement of young clerics who don't see human sexuality quite the way they do, an attempt to rid the church of its homosexual subculture would surely initiate a worldwide media firestorm.

Indeed, an attempted purge could tear the church apart since according to one authority cited by Rahe, somewhere between 20% and 60% of the church's prelates are homosexual. Even at the low end of that range it's one in five, despite the incidence of homosexuality in the general population hovering somewhere around 3%.

Defenders of the cultural normalization of homosexuality will offer the argument that just because one is a homosexual it doesn't follow that one is also a pederast, any more than one's heterosexuality makes one a heterosexual pedophile, so how is the church to separate the gay sheep from the pederastic goats?

Of course, if one starts from the assumption that homosexuality is in some sense normative then that's a tough argument to rebut. What would be needed for rebuttal would be statistics that support the intuition that pederasty is significantly more tolerated, approved and practiced among homosexuals than opposite sex abuse of minors is tolerated, approved and practiced by heterosexuals.

Nevertheless, whether that intuition is correct or not, any Catholic cleric who has any sort of sexual encounter, whether homo- or heterosexual, whether with a minor or consenting adult, is betraying both his calling and his vow of celibacy and should be sanctioned for that if for nothing else.

And regardless of one's position on homosexuality, everyone can, and should, agree that pederasts, and those who've covered up for them, should be defrocked and prosecuted.


It will be interesting to see how the Catholic Church survives this, especially if the scandal extends, as Rahe alleges, all the way to Il Papa himself. Too bad there's no modern Dante Alighieri around to craft a literary portrayal of the destiny of such as employ their power and influence over adolescent boys to sate their own selfish, depraved appetites by sexually abusing and often traumatizing those boys for the rest of their lives.

Monday, September 3, 2018

Fighting for $15

On Labor Day it might be appropriate to revisit the debate over raising the minimum wage.

On the surface raising the minimum wage to $15 an hour seems like a simple solution to help unskilled, poorly educated workers struggling with poverty, but, like most simple solutions, raising the minimum wage has unintended consequences that hurt the very people it's supposed to help.

An article by Ellie Bufkin at The Federalist explains how raising the minimum wage has actually harmed many workers, especially in the restaurant industry.

New York state, for example passed a law a bit over two years ago requiring that businesses offer mandatory paid family leave and pay every employee at least $15 an hour, almost twice the previous rate. The results were predictable and indeed were predicted by many, but the predictions went unheeded by the liberal New York legislature.

Bufkin uses as an illustration a popular Union Square café called The Coffee Shop which is closing its doors in the wake of the new legislation. The Coffee Shop employs 150 people, pays a high rent and under the Affordable Care Act must provide health insurance.

Now that the owner must pay his employees twice what he had been paying them he can no longer afford to stay in business:
Seattle and San Francisco led New York only slightly in achieving a $15 per hour minimum pay rate, with predictably bad results for those they were intended to help.

As Erielle Davidson discussed in these pages last year, instead of increasing the livelihood of the lowest-paid employees, the rate increase forced many employers to terminate staff to stay afloat because it dramatically spiked the costs of operating a business.

Understaffed businesses face myriad other problems [in addition to] wage mandates. Training hours for unskilled labor must be limited or eliminated, overtime is out of the question, and the number of staff must be kept under 50 to avoid paying the high cost of a group health-care package. The end result is hurting the very people the public is promised these mandates will help.

Of all affected businesses, restaurants are at the greatest risk of losing their ability to operate under the strain of crushing financial demands. They run at the highest day-to-day operational costs of any business, partly because they must employ more people to run efficiently.

In cities like New York, Washington DC, and San Francisco, even a restaurant that has great visibility and lots of traffic cannot keep up with erratic rent increases and minimum wage doubling.

When the minimum wage for tipped workers was much lower, employees sourced most of their income from guest gratuities, so restaurants were able to staff more people and provided ample training to create a highly skilled team. The skills employees gained through training and experience then increased their value to bargain for future, better-paying jobs.

Some businesses will lay off workers, cut back on training, not hire new workers or shut down altogether. A Harvard study found that a $1 increase in the minimum wage leads to approximately a 4 to 10 percent increase in the likelihood of any given restaurant folding.
How does this help anyone other than those who manage to survive the cuts? When these businesses, be they restaurants or whatever, close down it's often in communities which are "underserved" to start with, and the residents of those communities wind up being more underserved than they were before the minimum wage was raised.

Moreover, raising the minimum wage makes jobs heretofore filled by teenagers and people with weak qualifications more attractive to other applicants who are at least somewhat better qualified.

Workers who would've otherwise shunned a lower wage job will be hired at the expense of the poorly educated and unskilled, the very people who most need the job in the first place and who were supposed to be helped by raising the minimum wage.

Despite all this our politicians, at least some of those on the left, still think raising the minimum wage is a social justice imperative, even if it hurts the people it's supposed to help.

Or perhaps the politicians know it's a bad idea, but they see advocating a mandatory increase in wages as a way to bamboozle the masses into thinking the politician deserves their vote.

Saturday, September 1, 2018

The President's Most Significant Legacy

President Trump's most enduring and significant legacy will almost surely be the judges he has appointed and will appoint during the remainder of his term. These are lifetime positions, and the president's selections will reshape the direction of the courts for at least the next two generations.

There's been a lot of attention focused on the upcoming hearings for SCOTUS nominee Brett Kavanaugh, but almost as important as the Supreme Court are the Federal Circuit Courts of Appeals.

The Circuit Court consists of 13 appellate courts distributed throughout the country and staffed by 179 judges. The role of these courts is to reexamine cases appealed from district courts, and their decisions become binding precedent across their jurisdiction.

Cases can be appealed from the Court of Appeals to the U.S. Supreme Court, but since the Supreme Court accepts only about one percent of the cases filed with them, the Court of Appeals has the final say in 99 percent of cases which come before it. This amounts to thousands of decisions each year.

President Trump has made a total of 26 appointments to the appellate courts since taking office. No other president in the history of the United States has appointed so many circuit court judges at this point in his presidency, and his achievement is all the more impressive given that Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer has tried his best to stall the judicial appointment process, insisting on a full 30 hours of floor debate for all nominees.

So, why do President Trump's judges matter?

During the 2016 campaign, liberal journalist and Hillary Clinton supporter Matthew Yglesias observed that a President Hillary Clinton would appoint “judges who’ll be systematically more sympathetic to criminal defendants, labor and environmental plaintiffs, and government regulators.” This would, he wrote, turn “the federal judiciary back into a powerful prop of progressive governance.”

In other words, Mrs. Clinton would've appointed jurists who would see it as their task to usurp the role of the legislature and make law rather than interpret it.

But the judges President Trump has appointed have a conservative legal philosophy that makes them inclined to limit government power and respect the original intent of the framers of the Constitution.

This means that we'll gradually see a shift in judicial philosophy from judges basing their decisions on whatever might be the reigning political fashion of the day to a deeper regard for the rights enshrined in the Constitution. We should become once more a nation of laws rather than of ideological judges imposing their arbitrary convictions on the rest of us.

And because the average age of Mr. Trump’s circuit court nominees last year was 49, and since they have lifetime appointments, their influence should last for a very long time.

There are still 12 more vacancies on the U.S. Court of Appeals to be filled and doubtless more to come, but meanwhile, the president is enjoying similar success in the next lower level court, the District Courts, where he has already appointed dozens of judges.

The District Courts have 677 judges and are currently beset by 119 vacancies. Those numbers provide ample opportunity to reshape those courts for a long time to come as well.

Friday, August 31, 2018

Firemaker

In a post a couple of days ago on the amazing properties of water it was noted how easy it is to take some very extraordinary things for granted as we go through our everyday lives. Yet when we stop to contemplate the astounding nature of some of those things, like water, it can just take our breath away.

Consider another example - fire.

When we reflect upon all the characteristics of our planet that have to be just so for fire to even exist and then consider all the physical traits of an animal such as human beings that have to be just right for that animal to be able to use fire, and then contemplate what that animal's culture would be like were the animal or the earth even slightly different such that fire could not be made or harnessed, it just leaves one shaking his/her head in amazement.

In this 21 minute video Australian geneticist Michael Denton walks us through the astonishing series of properties and characteristics of the earth, fire, and mankind that have to be precisely calibrated in order for humans to have developed the culture that we have today. Had any of those properties been other than what they are humans might never have survived at all, much less developed an advanced culture.

Someone hearing all this for the first time might well be stunned by how astonishingly fortuitous it all seems.
The book on which the video is based is available here.

Thursday, August 30, 2018

What's the Next Election About?

A lot of people are predicting a "blue wave" of Democrat victories this November, especially in Congressional elections, and they may be correct. Historically, the party out of power does well in midterm elections, so it may be that voters will return the Democrats to power in the House of Representatives, but it probably won't be as easy as some seem to think, and it may not happen at all.

Consider some of the obstacles the Democrats must overcome in order to convince voters to return them to the majority in the House.

Love him or loathe him, President Trump has done more for the workers and families of this country than any president in living memory. We're just a year and a half into his first term and have already experienced some of the lowest black and Hispanic unemployment numbers in history and one of the strongest economies the world has ever seen.

Our GDP growth is beyond the dreams of almost all economists prognosticating during the flaccid years of President Obama's tenure, and over-all unemployment is at near record levels for a peacetime economy.

Like the GDP and employment, the stock market is currently bouncing around in record territory. This might be shrugged off by those who think they have no money in the market, but in fact just about everyone who pays into a retirement system is invested in the stock market since that's where those retirement funds are resting. The better the market does the safer their retirement, including social security and medicare, is going to be.

Moreover, Trump's appointments to the federal bench and Supreme Court have consisted of jurists who boast a record of honoring the Constitution and protecting the freedoms guaranteed in the first and second amendments, a fact which makes him extremely popular with a large swath of the American electorate.

His national security team and U.N. ambassador are perhaps the best any president has ever surrounded himself with. As Victor Davis Hanson puts it,
His [Trump's] national-security team at Defense, State, the National Security Council, the CIA, and the UN is better than any seen in prior postwar administrations. Mike Pompeo is not Hillary Clinton, H. R. McMaster and John Bolton have not been Susan Rice, and Jim Mattis is not Chuck Hagel. Nor is Nikki Haley playing the role of Samantha Power at the U.N., or sending in countless requests to unmask the names of those swept in FISA warrants.
Despite the cavils of critics his actions abroad have strengthened American influence and brought common sense to our foreign policy. He has gotten us out of two very bad Obama-era international agreements - the Paris Climate Accords and the Iranian Nuclear deal.

Reimposing economic sanctions on Iran appears to be bringing that state sponsor of terrorism to its knees, and Trump is putting more pressure on North Korea to give up its nuclear missile program than has any president in the last two decades.

His recent trade deal with Mexico is a boon to American workers and is likely to be followed by similar deals with the Canadians, and possibly the Chinese and Europeans.

Meanwhile, the Democrats are handicapped by an almost complete lack of any agenda for the country beyond repealing the Trump tax cuts and reissuing the executive orders rescinded by Trump. The tax cuts which the Democrats have characterized as "crumbs" and the deregulation of businesses are what have produced our amazing economic growth and unemployment, but the Democrats insist on doing away with them anyway.

They also want to abolish Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), open the borders to whomever wishes to come in, provide "free" health care to anyone who wants it, and impeach President Trump.

None of this (except impeachment) will be doable unless the Democrats can also take control of the Senate, which is unlikely, but their agenda will appeal to a pretty narrow sliver of the American electorate in any case. Yet, it's all the Democrats have put forward so far.

In fact, one of their biggest advantages is that President Trump will not be on the ballot in November, so Republican turnout might be perilously (for Republicans) low.

The Democrats have to flip only 24 seats in the House of Representatives out of a total of 435, 48 of which are deemed competitive and 25 of which are in districts Hillary Clinton carried in 2016, in order to take control of that chamber.

If they succeed they've promised to begin the work of undoing what Trump has wrought, but it would be astonishing if the Democrats, running on almost no agenda at all, can win those seats and begin the work of thwarting a president who in a year and a half has probably done more for the people of this country, including the poor, than has any other president, Democrat or Republican, since at least WWII.

Wednesday, August 29, 2018

The Most Amazing Substance in the Universe

We take so much of what's going on all around us, both in our bodies and in the natural world, for granted. In the course of our busy days we rarely stop to think how marvelous the processes necessary for sustaining life are - processes like photosynthesis, cognition, metabolism, DNA replication, the functioning of our immune system and hundreds of thousands more.

Perhaps just as marvelous are the physical properties of substances like carbon, oxygen and other elements necessary for life as well as the physical properties of the sun, moon and earth. Were not all of these countless properties precisely as they are life would not be possible, certainly not higher life forms like human beings.

One of the substances whose properties are so necessary and astonishingly suited for life is water. This seven minute video, based on a book by geneticist Michael Denton, gives us just a glimpse of how amazing a substance water is. The video is as beautiful as it is informative:
Either our planet and the living things it hosts are the result of an unimaginable number of extraordinarily improbable coincidences or they were all specially designed by a transcendent super-intellect. These two alternatives seem to exhaust all the possible options and believing either requires faith. The question is, which alternative requires the greatest leap of faith?

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Thinking Critically

Mary Tillotson at The Federalist presents a good lesson in critical thinking. Her immediate context is the application of a critical eye toward news reports and op-eds, but what she says is sound advice for any aspect of life.

She in fact says so many good things about each of the eight points she makes that I've only space enough to consider a couple of them.

Tillotson begins with an anecdote about a grad class she was taking that was engaged in a discussion of thinking critically about issues like "diversity, racism, and fear-mongering." She writes:
I had a hard time believing lack of critical thinking was a big problem until another student said we live in a time when race relations are worse than they ever have been, and everyone just nodded. Having grown up seeing old photographs of drinking fountains labeled “white” and “colored” and learning about the horrors of the antebellum South, I was stunned. There is a huge difference between “needs improvement” and “never been worse.”
When someone says something like what that student said they're probably not really thinking at all, much less thinking critically. In this case the students are likely just agreeing with the rest of the class in order to be congenial, polite or to be recognized by others as holding the right opinions.

Anyway, here's Tillotson's first point:
Know Your Narrative

Everyone has a worldview. Objectivity is a real thing and truth does in fact exist, but the existence of truth doesn’t mean we’re all good at seeing it. If you want to think critically, the first step is to know where you’re coming from.
Indeed, it's also good to know where the other person is coming from. Knowing a writer or speaker's own worldview helps immensely in "reading between the lines" of what they're saying.
Think of something evil that happened recently and consider these questions in that context. How do you explain good and evil behavior in people? Did the perpetrator act because he was a bad person or was he just a person who made a bad choice? Are there “good people” and “bad people,” or are we all prone to evil?
She elaborates on these questions, but one she doesn't mention that I think is helpful is to ask whether one even believes that "evil" exists. If so, what makes an act evil and what are some examples of it in our day?

Our answers to these questions will go far in helping us to understand both ourselves and others.
Predict, But Don’t Trust, Your Emotional Response

My high school psychology teacher passed out slips of paper to our class one day and asked us to raise our hands if we thought the sentence on our slip was true. We read, shrugged, agreed, and all raised our hands. It turned out we didn’t all have the same sentence: half of us had “People who are more cautious than average make better firefighters” and the other half had “People who are less cautious than average make better firefighters.” So we discussed various cognitive biases.

Cognitive biases also exist outside psychology classrooms. When you hear something bad about someone you already don’t like, you’re much more inclined to believe it. Likewise, when you hear something bad about someone you like, you’re more inclined to disbelieve, dismiss, or downplay it. This is called confirmation bias....You can’t eradicate it, but you can be aware of it.
Confirmation bias occurs everywhere and we all fall victim to it, unfortunately. Not only are we more likely to believe something bad about someone we don't like and something good about people we do like, but we're also more likely to believe a claim is true if it supports a political, scientific, philosophical or religious position we already hold than if it doesn't.

Tillotson makes an excellent suggestion about this:
When you hear a fact (or a “fact”) about someone, consider how you would react if that exact same thing were said about someone else. Put the opponent’s name in the sentence and observe your emotions.

At this point, you may become aware that your emotions are holding different people to different standards. This is an important step toward thinking with your brain and not with your emotions.
We certainly saw this happen a lot in the last election cycle, and it's still happening two months later. Critics of the president-elect, for example, are engaging in discourse that, had similar discourse occurred in the aftermath of Barack Obama's election, would have elicited howls of indignation from the same people.

One of the best intellectual disciplines we can develop is the ability to give people and positions we don't favor the benefit of the doubt and to ask, as Tillotson suggests, whether we would be saying or thinking or doing what we are if the person or position at issue were the person or position we favored.

For example, would those who excused Donald Trump's dishonesty or name-calling during the campaign excused them had it been Hillary Clinton instead of Trump caught in the lie or name-calling? We know in fact that they did not. People on both sides of the electoral divide were far too willing to excuse in their candidate what they saw as reprehensible in the other candidate.

Tillotson has more good advice on how to be a critical thinker, and I urge you to read the rest of her essay at the link.

Monday, August 27, 2018

Evolutionary Ethics Pt. II

In Saturday's post on VP we looked at an essay (paywall) by philosopher of science David Anderson who outlines three views of ethics based on naturalistic evolution.

Anderson considers Larry Arnhart's theory that we have evolved objective moral values to which we should adhere, Michael Ruse's supposition that moral values are an illusion, and Will Provine's view that given naturalistic evolution, there can be no free will, no genuine choices, and therefore no genuine morality.

For Ruse and Provine, moral values are simply matters of subjective preference, like our preference for one flavor of ice cream over another. There's no real right or wrong about the matter.

In the present post I'd like to briefly critique each of these views.

Recall that on Arnhart's theory human beings have evolved twenty core desires which form the basis for objective moral values, but human beings have also evolved many traits that we do not consider "moral" at all. For example, humans have evolved a penchant for violence, aggression, selfishness, promiscuity, cruelty, dishonesty, power, etc., so what are we to make of these? Are these behaviors moral? If not, why not?

If human beings have evolved both kindness and cruelty, what makes us think that kindness is right and cruelty is wrong unless we're subliminally comparing the two to some higher standard, an objective standard, which allows us to discern between them which is right? And if there is a higher objective standard where does it come from? What obligates us to obey that standard? Naturalism has no answer to these questions.

The naturalist just has to assume that we'll all agree that it's better to be kind than to be cruel, but if morality is to be based on the consensus of popular feeling then there are no objective moral values at all. They're all subjective, and no one can be obligated to live according to someone else's subjective values.

In other words, a robust morality imposes duties upon us to live a certain way, but a mindless, natural process cannot impose a duty or hold us responsible for the moral choices we make. Evolution cannot, then, be the source of genuine moral value. It can only be the source of desires and impulses, some of which we like and some of which we don't.

If naturalism is true, then Michael Ruse's position that morality is simply an illusion that we've evolved in order to get us to cooperate with each other, is doubtless correct. But if that's so then there really is no right or wrong, for what could it mean to say that someone who does not cooperate with others is "wrong"? How can it be wrong to refuse to be deluded, or to spurn an illusion? How can anything be wrong to do if there's no real standard of right and wrong nor any ultimate accountability for how we behave?

The naturalist, as Ruse tacitly admits, has no answers to these questions, either.

Will Provine also acknowledges that on naturalism there are is objective moral right and wrong, but his view is equally unsatisfactory. He wants to argue that we are biological machines whose choices are all determined by causal influences over which we have no control. In such machines there's no room for free will, but if we're not in some sense free to choose how we'll behave then there's no way we can be responsible for what we do.

It follows that a man who molests or tortures children, as horrible as that sounds to us, is not responsible, and therefore not accountable, for what he's doing. He's not doing anything wrong, he's only doing things most people don't like, but why should he care what others like and don't like? Why should he not just do what he likes? Naturalism again has no answer.

When people make a commitment to naturalism, a commitment usually motivated by a desire to reject the God of traditional theism, they often do so before they've thought through the implications. It doesn't occur to most people that naturalism, consistently applied, entails moral nihilism, i.e. the belief that there's no real accountability for our behavior, no moral duties, no genuine moral right or wrong.

If they do come to realize this they often just ignore it and go on living as before, not realizing that they've adopted a metaphysical worldview with which they can't live consistently. It's intellectually dishonest but then on naturalism there's nothing wrong with being intellectually dishonest because there's nothing morally wrong with anything.

Saturday, August 25, 2018

Evolutionary Ethics Pt. I

It's an interesting fact that when the consensus worldview of a society is unable to explain a crucial aspect of human experience, that failure is often just papered over and ignored rather than allow the basic assumptions that lead to the failure to be challenged.

Such is the case with naturalism (the belief that physical nature is all there is) and morality. Naturalism simply cannot give a plausible account of the kind of robust morality that obligates people to behave in one way rather than another.

Many philosophers recognize this and have concluded that moral claims are either all false (error theorists), neither true nor false (emotivists), or simply the subjective expression of one's own biases, prejudices and preferences (subjectivists).

A worldview that cannot explain morality, however, is quite unsatisfactory since not only does it conflict with our deepest intuitions about the way the world is, but it leads almost inevitably to nihilism. Since naturalists are perforce evolutionists many have tried to rescue their naturalism by grounding morality in evolution, but those attempts are unconvincing.

Philosopher David Anderson discusses three of these attempts in an article at Salvo magazine (subscription required).

The first attempt is to posit the theory that morality arises from our natural desires, and was formed in us by natural selection and random mutation over millions of years. These natural desires serve as the objective standard of morality — the plumb line of right and wrong, as Anderson puts it.

He cites political scientist Larry Arnhart's theory which elaborates on these "universal human desires". These core desires have been possessed by human beings in every culture. They include, "parental care, sexual mating, familial bonding, friendship, social ranking, justice, political rule, war, health, beauty, and ten others." Anderson comments:
In Arnhart's view, an objectively good person is one who satisfies these natural desires insofar as he is able. For example, a man who cultivates friendships, cares for his kids, maintains his physical health, appreciates art, and so on, is a morally good person.

By contrast, a man who alienates his friends, neglects his kids, abuses his body, cares nothing for art or beauty, and so on, is an objectively bad person.

In sum, morality is anchored in universal human desires, and these desires were formed in humans over eons, through descent with modification. Our evolutionary heritage is the wellspring of right and wrong.
A second version of evolutionary ethics, one held by philosopher Michael Ruse, contends that, as a direct consequence of the evolutionary process, humans have developed subjective moral standards that have the appearance of being objective but really are not. They are illusions fobbed off on us by evolution. Here's Anderson again:
That is, evolution has given humans a disposition to believe that there are objective moral values and duties, but in reality there are none; right and wrong are simply matters of personal preference or feeling. This means, for example, that breaking the golden rule is not actually wrong, even though most human beings believe that it is.

Ruse explains: "The evolutionist's claim . . . is that morality is subjective—it is all a question of human feelings or sentiments—but he/she admits that we 'objectify' morality. . . . We think morality has objective reference even though it does not."

According to Ruse, natural selection fooled us into believing in objective morality because such beliefs ultimately help us to survive and reproduce. If we believe we ought to love our neighbor as ourselves, for example, then we cooperate more with others. And the more cooperative a society is, the more successful its members are at surviving and reproducing.

But in reality, morality is ultimately a matter of personal preference and feeling. Since there is no purpose, plan, or goal to evolution, humans are nothing more than the accidental results of a mindless process. We were not designed by God (or anything else) to live in a certain way.

All that's left, then, to build a sense of morality upon is each individual's subjective feelings. Objective moral values and duties are no more real than the tooth fairy.
A third evolution-based view comes to us from the late Cornell biologist William Provine who held that evolutionary theory (and science more generally) supports subjectivism. Anderson remarks that Provine,
...agrees with Ruse that there is no objective standard of morality; rather, each person should do what's in his own best interest.

But Provine adds a twist. He believes modern science has shown that human beings are physical objects—made entirely of things like electrons, quarks, fermions, bosons, and so on. Physical objects obey the laws of physics: electrons do not "decide" what to do, they just mindlessly interact with other phenomena.

Similarly, human beings don't actually make any decisions at all. We think we do, but we are mistaken. We have no more free will than toasters. As Provine says, "What modern science tells us . . . is that human beings are very complex machines.

There is no way that the evolutionary process as currently conceived can produce a being that is truly free to make choices."

Consider a long line of falling dominoes. A given domino can't choose whether to fall or to jump out of the way when struck by another domino; its action is entirely dictated by that of the domino immediately before it (and of the other dominoes before that).

Likewise, no human being has ever made a free decision. Instead, all his "decisions" were really determined by particles and forces set in motion in the distant past. As Provine says bluntly, "free will as it is traditionally conceived . . . simply does not exist."
In summary, the first view holds that we've evolved desires which fit us for survival and therefore we're obligated to live in accord with them.

The second holds that moral values are illusory and don't exist in any objective sense, but we should nevertheless submit to them because things work out better if we do.

The third holds that we're just evolved machines, that free will is an illusion and that since we cannot make genuine choices, there's really no genuine moral responsibility.

We'll take a further look at each of these in our next post.

Friday, August 24, 2018

Discrimination and Disparities

A common assumption on the left today is that any disparity in outcomes or demographic distribution between races is prima facie evidence of racism.

In a short book of only 127 pages the celebrated economist Thomas Sowell explodes this assumption and exposes it as an ideologically-driven myth.

His book is titled Discriminations and Disparities and early on Sowell outlines three different meanings of the word discrimination:
  • Discrimination Ia: Basing decisions on evidence about individuals
  • Discrimination Ib: Basing decisions on evidence about groups
  • Discrimination II: Basing decisions on unsubstantiated notions or animosities
Throughout the book Sowell makes the case that many if not most of the disparities that are almost reflexively imputed to D-II are really rational decisions based on D-Ia or Ib. Moreover, D-I discrimination often works to the advantage of minorities.

Consider this example from a study cited in the book:
...despite the reluctance of many employers to hire young black males, because a significant proportion of them have criminal records (D-Ib), those employers who did criminal background checks on all their employees (D-Ia) tended to hire more young black males than did other employers.
This is because employers knew from the background check that particular young black male applicants had no criminal background and were thus more employable. Had the background check not been given the suitability of these young men would not have been known and employers would've shied away from taking a chance on them.

Nevertheless, there are those who advocate doing away with background checks altogether because they prevent many young blacks with criminal records from being hired. The EEOC has sued employers who use background checks on the grounds that it constitutes racial discrimination even when the background check was given to all applicants regardless of race.

This governmental pressure has the counterproductive effect of actually reducing the number of young black males employers are willing to risk investing in.

Sowell talks about the phenomenon of taxi drivers making a decision not to take customers into or out of certain high-crime neighborhoods at night (D-1b) and the decision of supermarket executives not to open stores in those neighborhoods (D-1b). These decisions are based on risks and costs, yet they're often attributed to racism (D-II) on the part of those who make them, even when the cab drivers are themselves black.

The people hurt by these decisions, of course, are law-abiding residents of these neighborhoods, but the blame should not fall on the decision-makers, it should fall on the criminals who make the risks and costs too high to be acceptable.

Another, related, point he makes on this is that stores and other businesses in these neighborhoods often charge more for their products than do similar stores in more affluent neighborhoods. This, too, is often interpreted as D-II, but stores in high-crime neighborhoods suffer more from vandalism and theft than do stores in other areas. If they don't raise their prices to cover the costs of these liabilities they'll go out of business. If they do raise their prices they're threatened with lawsuits by agencies on the lookout for "racially disparate impacts".

What are these stores and shopkeepers, many of whom are minorities and many of whom operate on tight margins as it is, to do?

Sowell goes on to discuss racial segregation, redlining, the effects of mandated minimum wage, gaps in educational achievement, income inequality and much more that can't be outlined here. Most of the positions, policies and practices he addresses, although the media often sniffs the odor of racism about them, are actually the result of causes that are not at all sinister.

Sowell doesn't deny that there's discrimination (D-II), but in his telling it's largely historical, and so much of what remains today has almost no causal connection to the racial disparities we find in our society.

Discrimination and Disparities is a well-documented, easy book to read and should be de rigueur for everyone who wishes to understand the sociological situation we find ourselves in today and who yearns for greater racial comity in our society.

Thursday, August 23, 2018

Butterflies and Metamorphosis

A couple of short videos excerpted from Illustra Media's film titled: Metamorphosis: The Beauty and Design of Butterflies shows the incredible difficulties metamorphosis pose to any account of the process which insists that its genesis be completely unguided and naturalistic.

Why such a process would have ever evolved in the first place and how it could have done so are questions for which the standard Darwinian model has no answer.

There's a bit of overlap in the two videos but not much:
Speaking for myself, the idea that such a process evolved seems possible, maybe even plausible, but the idea that the process evolved unaided by any intelligent, purposeful guidance seems to me quite literally incredible.

Wednesday, August 22, 2018

Political Incivility

Political violence and incivility are largely a phenomenon exhibited by people who know they cannot prevail in a fair competition of ideas and who feel their only hope of "winning" is by insulting or assaulting their opponents.

The Daily Caller has catalogued a list of over twenty instances of deplorable behavior toward one's political adversaries in just the last seven and a half months. There may be similar examples of people who would call themselves conservatives engaging in such disgusting rhetoric and behavior, but in the cases below the perpetrators happen to be all people on the left.

Even so, if someone were to ask me how often I saw or heard rhetoric of this level of violence and incivility directed at Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton or their supporters, my honest answer would be, not very often.

I'm not referring here to the kind of uninformed bluster inflicted upon us by our besotted Uncle Willie at the family picnic, of course. Rather I'm referring to political rhetoric emanating from conservative leaders in politics, the media, or business.

Anyway, here's a selection culled from the Daily Caller's list:

1/12: CNN guest Rick Wilson threatens to “gut” a Trump supporter “like a fish”
3/15: Capitol police arrest Democratic operative for assaulting female Interior Department communications official
5/08: Woman charged with felony reckless endangerment for trying to run Rep. David Kustoff (R-Tenn.) and an aide off the road
5/11: MSNBC’s Nicolle Wallace suggests “wringing” Sarah Sanders’ neck
6/20: Kirstjen Nielsen driven out of Mexican restaurant
6/22: Red Hen restaurant owner refuses to serve Sarah Sanders
6/23: Rep. Maxine Waters calls on supporters to harass Trump officials in public, says “God is on [their] side”
6/23: Florida AG Pam Bondi is confronted, spit upon at movie theater
6/29: Feds arrest man threatening to kill Ajit Pai’s children
7/6: Man arrested for making “terroristic threats” against Rep. Zeldin staffer and Trump supporters
7/16: Rep. Cohen tells “military folks” to stop Trump
7/25: Sen. Cory Booker tells people to “get up in the face of some congresspeople”
8/1: CNN’s Symone Sanders says Trump officials getting harassed is the “name of the game”
8/9: Newly uncovered audio reveals Dem Rep. Steve Cohen joking about GOP Rep. Marsha Blackburn jumping off a bridge
8/12: Antifa protesters say they would like to “murder” Trump — “do him like Gaddafi”
8/13: Pearl Jam depicts dead Trump on concert poster for fundraiser for Dem Senate candidate Jon Tester
8/19: Rep. Hastings (D-Fla.): It would be a “catastrophe” if someone saved Trump from drowning.

As bad as some of President Trump's tweets and rhetoric have been, have they really been this bad? To be sure, the president has set an awful example for our citizenry, especially our young, as to how our political discourse should be conducted, but these people on the Daily Caller's list are incentivizing actual violence against people who disagree with them, and that's despicable.

Inflammatory discourse and hatred can only breed resentments and bitterness in our politics and result in more tragedies like the Rep. Steve Scalise shooting. If and when such violence does recur the victims' blood will be on the hands of everyone who dehumanized, or countenanced violence against, their political opponents, even if it was only supposed to be a "joke".

After all, joking about someone's death is only funny to the immature and the mentally deranged.

Tuesday, August 21, 2018

How We Dehumanize Women

Scanning the news we're often confronted with what seems to be an epidemic of mistreatment of women in our culture. Stories of a campus rape culture, sexually hostile workplaces, spousal abuse, and other examples of violence and degrading behavior perpetrated against women seem to abound, and the question this all raises is "why?". Why do more men today, more than in previous generations, seem to hold women in such low esteem? Why are women so much more likely to be objectified today than in our grandparents' day?

I think a strong case can be made for the claim that the problem is a result of the moral revolution that took place in the 1960s and 70s concerning our attitudes toward sex and violence.

During those decades pornography was mainstreamed, and with the advent of the internet it became easily accessible to adolescents. Three generations of young men have thus been raised on ubiquitous pornographic images. This has likely had several undesirable effects.

First, it has desensitized men to sexual stimuli. A hundred years ago a glimpse of a woman's lower leg was stimulating. It no longer is because now there's much more to be seen anywhere one looks than merely a shapely ankle.

Consequently, men require stronger and stronger stimuli in order to achieve the same level of arousal as someone who's not exposed to the constant barrage of sexual images. Because of this need for ever more erotic stimuli many men want their women to be like the women they encounter in movies, magazines, and online - they want their women to be sexually voracious playthings, and that desire often has a dehumanizing effect on women.

A lot of women simply don't feel comfortable in that role, and that incompatibility can create tension in their relationships. The man feels cheated, the woman feels cheapened and trouble results.

At the same time that pornography exploded, sex was disconnected from marriage and commitment. Many women were perfectly willing to live with men and give them all the benefits of marriage without demanding of them any kind of permanent commitment. This suited many men just fine. When men could have sex without having to bond themselves to a woman, women were more likely to be objectified and used by men who reasoned that there was no sense in buying a cow as long as the milk was free.

People who give us what we want may be popular as long as the benefits keep coming, but they're not respected. Respect may be feigned, of course, as long as the benefit is imminent but when the benefit no longer seems all that novel or exciting a diminution of respect often follows and results in the woman being treated accordingly.

Men are naturally promiscuous, they have to be taught to subordinate their natural impulses and to value instead hearth and family, but our entire culture has conspired in the last forty years to minimize and deride that lesson. So, when many a modern man, unfettered by any profound commitment to a particular woman and children, grows accustomed to the woman he's with she'll eventually begin to bore him, and it won't be long before his eye is cast elsewhere in search of another potential source of sexual excitement.

Along with the decline of traditional sexual morality in the 60s and 70s was the emergence of a radical feminism that castigated the old Victorian habits of gentlemanly behavior. It became quaint, even insulting, for a man to give a woman his seat on a bus or to open a door for her. Men who had been raised to put women on a pedestal - to care for them, provide for them, and nurture them - were told they were no longer necessary for a woman's happiness. In Gloria Steinem's famous phrase "a woman needs a man like a fish needs a bicycle."

The more vocal feminists also made it clear that women no longer appreciated being treated differently than men. Thus, our entertainment culture began depicting women in movies as just as raunchy, coarse, and proficient at killing and mayhem as men, and the idea of a woman being an object of special respect and courtesy because she needed male protection and care became risible. This, too, dehumanized women by eroding the esteem in which their gender had formerly been held among men.

As with sex, so with violence. The inclination to violence in the male population follows a Bell curve distribution. At some point along the tail there is a line to the left of which lies the segment of the population which represents men who are violent. Most men sublimate and control their natural inclination to violence, but when they are exposed to it over and over as young men, when they amuse themselves with violent movies and video games, when they immerse themselves in violent imagery and themes, they become desensitized to it and tolerant of it. When they're no longer horrified by violence the population of males undergoes a shift toward that line, spilling many more men onto the other side of the line than would have been there otherwise.

This affects women as much as men, if not moreso, because women are often the victims of male violence. As men become more inclined to violence, as they lose respect for women, as our culture portrays women as sexually insatiable playthings, women become increasingly the victims of male lust, anger and aggression.

It would be well for any young woman who is beginning to get serious about a young man to find out how much of his time he spends on violent movies and computer games and what he thinks about pornography. She'll learn a lot of very valuable information about him if she does.

Monday, August 20, 2018

Weak Reasons

A Pew survey from a year or so ago found that the number of Americans who don't believe in God or who are unaffiliated with any religion is continuing to increase. The survey listed the reasons, and I have to say the reasons seem pretty weak for such an important epistemic commitment:


Consider just the reasons for unbelief (I'm surprised, by the way, that the problem of suffering didn't make this list since it's probably the best reason for skepticism out there.).

1. Learning about evolution. There's no incompatibility between evolution and God. Many theists believe in both. In fact, as philosopher Alvin Plantinga points out, the conflict really lies between naturalism (atheism) and evolution. If evolution is true then our rational faculties have evolved to help us survive, not necessarily to lead us to truth.

Thus, those who believe both atheism and evolution to be true have no basis for trusting their reason to lead them to truth, especially metaphysical truth. But if that's so, then they have no basis for trusting their reason when it leads them to conclude that either atheism or evolution is true. If God exists, however, then we have grounds for thinking that God has caused our reason to evolve in such a way as to make it generally reliable.

2. Too many Christians doing unChristian things. Even if it were granted that many people fall short of what we might expect of them (who doesn't?) what does that have to do with whether or not God exists? God's existence doesn't depend on whether people who believe He exists live consistently with that belief.

3. Religion is the opiate of the people. Even if it were granted that religion misleads or stupefies many people that's also irrelevant to the question whether God exists. The truth of theism is one thing, the truth of a particular religion, or religion in general, is something quite different. It's ironic, parenthetically, that the opiate claim is taken from Karl Marx. If anything has stupefied the masses, as well as the intelligentsia, over the last one hundred years it has been atheistic Marxism.

4. Rational thought discredits religious belief. Even if it were granted that many religious beliefs cannot withstand rational scrutiny that has nothing to do with whether theism itself is rational. The claim that theism is discredited by rational thought is simply false as many, if not most, philosophers, both theist and atheist, have acknowledged.

5. Lack of evidence for a creator. This objection is as puzzling as it is common. There are numerous arguments that constitute evidence for a creator. At least two forms of the cosmological argument (the kalam argument and the argument from contingency of the universe), the argument from cosmic fine-tuning, and the moral argument are all strong arguments whose conclusions assert the existence of God.

6. Just don't believe it. I think this objection might better be stated, "I just don't want it to be true that God exists." If someone doesn't want theism to be true, of course, then nothing will persuade him or her that it is.

In fact, I suspect that #6, this deep desire for a naturalistic world in which people are not accountable for how they choose to live, is the fundamental reason for most unbelief today. The other reasons listed above certainly don't seem to constitute adequate explanations of it.

Saturday, August 18, 2018

Sub-Optimal Or Optimal Design?

One frequently employed argument against the theory of intelligent design is that if living things are indeed the product of intelligent agency the designing agent must not be all that competent since some biological structures appear to be quite poorly designed.

The argument goes back at least to David Hume (d. 1776) in his Dialogues Concerning Natural Religion, and modern skeptics point to the human eye as an almost paradigmatic illustration of Hume's claim. The light sensitive cells in the eye, it has long been thought, are facing the wrong way in the retina.

Yet, as research on the eye continues it looks more and more as though the eye is, in fact, optimally designed for the role it plays in vision.

Here's a short video which makes this point quite well:
The optimality of the eye's design coupled with the fact that complex eyes have been around since the cambrian and have no fossilized ancestral predecessors, leads to the conclusion that this very complex structure arose with relative suddenness in the history of life and apparently de novo.

That's pretty hard to explain on any naturalistic theory of origins.

Friday, August 17, 2018

A Metaethical Exercise

Here are some questions for you to ponder. Suppose you're talking to someone about something that harms others, say, kidnapping or sexual assault, and you and your interlocutor both agree that actions that cause harm to others are morally wrong.

Very well, but what are you asserting when you claim that X is morally wrong? What does it mean to declare an act wrong (or right) in the moral sense?

If we say that rape or racism are wrong what are we affirming about these things? What does the term "morally wrong" actually mean? Does it mean nothing more than an act that most people don't like? If so, why is that a reason not to do it?

Does it mean that it's an act that one just shouldn't do? If so, why shouldn't one?

An act is legally wrong if it violates the civil or criminal law, but what law is violated when one commits a selfish act like refusing to help someone in need when one could easily do so or when one cheats on one's spouse? Is there an objective moral law similar to the civil or criminal law? If so, where does it come from? What is it grounded in?

If a criminal law carries no sanction, no penalty, nor holds transgressors in any way accountable in what sense is violating it really wrong? Suppose there was no penalty attached to laws prohibiting one from polluting the environment, in what sense would polluting the environment be wrong? What's the point of insisting: "But it's illegal!"?

If there is a moral law is there personal accountability for violating it? If not, how is it wrong to violate it? Who holds tyrants like Fidel Castro or Kim Jung Un accountable for ordering the assassinations and torture of their political enemies?

Even if they were in some way punished, as was Saddam Hussein, how is imprisoning them, or even executing them, any kind of just recompense for the human misery they caused? How is justice achieved when a mass murderer like Stephen Paddock, the Las Vegas shooter, takes his own life after murdering dozens of others? Is justice even possible?

The problem is that in secular societies in which large numbers of people have concluded that the idea of God is no longer viable, there's no good answer to any of these questions. If there is no personal God then there is no objective moral law, there's no accountability, there is no justice, and the term "morally wrong" has no real meaning. It serves only to express our personal likes and dislikes and nothing more.

When a society eventually realizes that this is the ineluctable consequence of its predilection for being free of the God of traditional theism its members will almost certainly adopt the slogans "Look out for #1", "Might makes right", and "Anything goes" for these are the logical moral entailments of a society stripped of any ground for objective moral law.

And the next step beyond that is tyranny.

This is the trajectory many Western societies are following, apparently oblivious to where they're headed. Some of the more thoughtful members of those societies, of course, see what lies ahead, but even for many of these a return to traditional theism is too high a price to pay if that's what's necessary to avert the coming reckoning.

They'd rather continue down the road they're on and take their chances with impending moral anarchy.

Thursday, August 16, 2018

Hume's Maxim

The skeptical philosopher David Hume, in arguing against the reasonableness of belief in miracles, famously articulated what might be called Hume's Maxim. He wrote:
A miracle is a violation of the laws of nature; and as a firm and unalterable experience has established these laws, the proof against a miracle, from the very nature of the fact, is as entire as any argument from experience can possibly be imagined....There must, therefore, be a uniform experience against every miraculous event otherwise the event would not merit that appellation. And as a uniform experience amounts to a proof, there is here a direct and full proof, from the nature of the fact, against the existence of any miracle....
Hume's definition of a miracle as a violation of the laws of nature is deeply problematic, but let that go for now (see here for a discussion of some of the problems with that definition). Hume goes on to say that,
The maxim, by which we commonly conduct ourselves in our reasonings, is that the objects of which we have no experience, resemble those of which we have; that what we have found to be most usual is always most probable; and that where there is an opposition of arguments, we ought to give the preference to such as are founded on the greatest number of past observations.
Hume would doubtless be aghast at the implications of this maxim (or rule) for the contemporary controversy over intelligent design. He employed the rule against belief in miracles, arguing that because we have an overwhelming experience against violations of the laws of nature we should reject any report that a "violation" occurred. If we grant Hume his rule (which I don't - the rule only entails skepticism of the report of a miracle, it doesn't warrant outright rejection of it) there's no reason not to apply it to the discovery over the last fifty years that the universe and life are both information-rich.

Couple that discovery with the fact that we have a uniform experience of information, whether in a library, on a hard drive, or wherever, being produced by intelligent minds, and it would seem that Hume would have to grant that we should believe that the information contained in biological cells and organisms must be the product of an intelligent mind. We have no experience, after all, of information being produced by random, impersonal processes and forces. Indeed, we have a uniform experience of random action degrades information and generates disorder.

Philosopher of science Stephen Meyer discusses the problem biological information poses for naturalistic evolution in this video:
Meyer also offers a critique of Hume's definition that a miracle is a violation of the laws of nature in this video:

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

Why His Approval is Improving

These sorts of statistics set Never-Trumpers' teeth on edge, but here they are nonetheless: The Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll has President Trump's approval rating at 50%.

CNN's Jeffrey Toobin, like many of his colleagues, is mystified how the president's approval numbers keep climbing despite a non-stop, 24/7 media campaign to discredit him, a campaign in which the president himself often seems to be gleefully supplying the opposition's ammunition.

Nevertheless, President Trump is, at least for now, more highly favored than his predecessor was at the same point in their presidencies.

Why is that? Former president Bill Clinton's consigliere James Carville famously posted a sign in the Clinton campaign war room to focus campaign workers' minds on the paramount concern of voters in any election. The sign read, "It's the Economy, Stupid."

That sign explained why Clinton served two terms despite being mired in scandal. Much else may be irritating, may be regrettable, may even be deplorable, but as long as the economy is percolating along, a large swath of the American electorate will tolerate a lot of shenanigans from our leaders. We certainly did from Clinton, largely because the economy was doing well in the 1990s, and, to the left's chagrin, we probably will from Trump as well.

To paraphrase Thomas Jefferson in the Declaration of Independence, voters are more disposed to tolerate, as long as evils are tolerable, than to right themselves by abolishing the leaders to which they've become accustomed, and nothing makes "evils" more tolerable than economic prosperity.

Liz Peek at The Hill presents a few economic facts which illustrate the how well things are going under Trump:
  • The most recent IBD/TIPP poll shows Americans' “Economic Optimism” index climbing in August to 58, the second-highest mark since January 2004.
  • In August, respondents rated their “Quality of Life” at 64.2; the previous all-time high was 63.1, recorded in January 2004.The average under President Obama was 53.7.
  • Similarly, the latest reading on “Direction of the Country” hit 50.3, up 13 percent from the prior month, and the highest recorded since 2005. That compares to a 17-year average of 41.6 and an average of 37 during President Obama’s time in office.
  • The “Financial Stress Index,” which has averaged 59.4 since it was created in 2007, plunged in August to 47.4, its lowest level ever. As IBD explained, “People are feeling more secure in their finances than they have at least since the early 2000s.”
Add to this the fact that unemployment is at historic lows (3.9% overall), and that black and Hispanic unemployment are likewise at historic lows while tax revenues are at historic highs, and you have the prescription for a popular presidency.

Given all this, one might speculate that the president's approval numbers would be stratospheric if either a) the Mueller investigation into Russian "collusion" never happened or b) the president canceled his twitter account.

Regardless, the economy is benefiting from Trump's tax cuts and his easing of the onerous Obama-era regulations on individuals and enterprise. It's a wonder that more countries haven't gotten the message, but evidently they haven't.